North Korea,deterrence, and engagement

The Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) justifies its nuclear weapon arsenal with the concept of deterrence. It means that it will try to miniaturize and modernize its warheads and missiles. This leads to a first-use doctrine of nuclear weapons. Obama's policy of engagement does not offer a solution to the North Korean nuclear issue as yet. In the context of its policy of critical engagement with the DPRK, the European Union has three key interests: regional peace and stability, denuclearization, and human rights. The Conference on Security and Cooperation (CSCE) could be a precedent. The CSCE process was based on three “baskets”: security, economics, and humanitarian. The multilateral Trans-Pacific Partnership is a step in this regard. This article looks at three theoretical approaches: realism, liberal institutionalism, and liberal internationalism. It concludes that a political strategy to create a stable North Korean peninsula has to go beyond nuclear deterrence that is based on the realist notion of balance of power.     

飞行模拟器火控仿真系统

介绍了一种适用于飞机飞行模拟器的火控仿真系统的功能与组成 ,并对瞄准具的改装、火控数学模型的建立、攻击效果评估、火控仿真与模拟器各系统的配合等主要技术问题及处理方法进行了讨论。     

故障诊断和容错技术在控制系统中的应用研究

介绍了控制系统的故障诊断和容错控制的基本概念和任务 ,评述了故障诊断和容错控制技术所用的各种方法 ,并对故障诊断和容错控制技术在核动力装置控制系统中应用的可行性进行了探讨 .     

核武器毁伤概率pij计算的一种改进方法

在核火力运用研究的最优瞄准点选择计算中 ,核武器对目标毁伤概率 pij的计算是至关重要的。在 Gauss-L egendre求积方法的基础上 ,提出计算核武器毁伤概率 pij的一种改进方法 ,经计算证明 :此方法计算速度快且精度高。     

基于频谱分析的飞行模拟器飞行性能验证

介绍频谱分析用于仿真系统模型验证的原理和方法,提出一种应用频谱分析进行飞行模拟器飞行性能验证的方案。结合飞行试验和仿真模型的输出数据,分别采用窗谱估计和最大熵谱估计方法对某型飞行模拟器的飞行性能进行验证,并对验证结果进行分析。结果表明,频谱分析法用于飞行模拟器飞行性能的验证是有效的,可为其他训练模拟器的性能验证提供参考。     

How long until midnight? Intelligence-policy relations and the United States response to the Israeli nuclear program, 1959–1985

Why did the United States fail to stop Israeli acquisition of nuclear weapons? Existing research argues that patrons such as the U.S. should have an easy time halting proliferation by militarily and economically vulnerable clients. Nevertheless, Israel acquired nuclear weapons with relatively little American opposition. Utilizing extensive primary source research, we argue that problematic intelligence-policy relations hindered U.S. efforts to arrest Israeli proliferation as (1) policymakers often gave mixed guidance to the intelligence community, resulting in (2) limited information on Israeli efforts that reinforced policy ambiguity. The results carry implications for understanding the dynamics of nuclear proliferation and intelligence-policy relations.     

Defining quantitative criteria for the physical protection system effectiveness of nuclear facilities

The article is devoted to problems of defining quantitative criteria for the physical protection system (PPS) effectiveness of nuclear facilities. The article briefly describes the scheme of the PPS development used in the nuclear industry in Russia, gives a review of existing approaches to defining the minimal acceptable value of the system's effectiveness, and reveals advantages and disadvantages of the approaches. The article describes in detail an approach based on facility categorization by potential losses and a technique of defining the minimal acceptable value of the PPS effectiveness developed on its base.     

MAD,not Marx: Khrushchev and the nuclear revolution

The revival of nuclear strategy in US policy and scholarship has been strengthened by arguments that the ‘nuclear revolution’ – the assumption that thermonuclear bombs and missiles had made major war too dangerous to wage – does not affect international behaviour as much as nuclear revolution advocates claim. This article shows that the Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev indeed regarded nuclear war as too dangerous to wage, a decision which manifested itself not so much in foreign policy or military doctrine but in his determination to avoid war when the possibility arose. We argue that Khrushchev’s experience provides us with a more useful way to characterise the nuclear revolution and suggest some implications of this argument for contemporary debates about nuclear weaponry.     

工控软件InTouch在模拟器研制中的应用

对工控软件InTouch的特点、开发环境和应用方法进行了简要介绍,提出了一种以InTouch为主体,结合其它应用软件的硬件--服务器--客户机模拟器开发模式,根据这种模式研制出了一套舰艇电站模拟器.使用结果表明,这种基于InTouch的模拟器是十分成功的.     

微波雷达目标信号模拟器及其应用

本文为在野战条件下检测雷达测距系统的性能提供一种新型微波目标信号模拟器,闸述其工作原理及功能。除在检测雷达测距系统性能上已得到实际应用外,还论述了可以进一步开发的应用项目,因为不受场地和气候条件的限制,从而获得较好的效能、效率和效益。